Description

This analysis provides a forecast of FET prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-23 0.380038 0.442064 0.510596 0.591874 0.685587 0.790198 0.915788
2025-03-30 0.268601 0.349166 0.447959 0.577758 0.743553 0.947986 1.218974
2025-04-06 0.205939 0.290115 0.401384 0.558701 0.774841 1.060781 1.467179
2025-04-13 0.164842 0.248117 0.365197 0.540966 0.797220 1.156110 1.695714
2025-04-20 0.141324 0.225251 0.349688 0.546386 0.848087 1.291659 1.991245
2025-04-27 0.128753 0.215899 0.351326 0.575355 0.934653 1.485860 2.392268
2025-05-04 0.116030 0.203894 0.346479 0.592406 1.003267 1.658533 2.777809
2025-05-11 0.103450 0.189953 0.336131 0.598280 1.053214 1.805391 3.136254
2025-05-18 0.091499 0.175145 0.322013 0.595264 1.086723 1.927224 3.464193
2025-05-25 0.080675 0.160681 0.306375 0.587077 1.109343 2.031531 3.771154
2025-06-01 0.072004 0.148931 0.293953 0.582768 1.137620 2.147322 4.108625
2025-06-08 0.062778 0.134737 0.275058 0.563676 1.135693 2.207515 4.349370
2025-06-15 0.060838 0.135179 0.284806 0.601990 1.249150 2.495212 5.051724
2025-06-22 0.053452 0.123202 0.268364 0.586024 1.254262 2.578172 5.370430
2025-06-29 0.046769 0.111728 0.251393 0.566622 1.249695 2.640928 5.654522
2025-07-06 0.041107 0.101674 0.236076 0.548640 1.245603 2.703444 5.943439
2025-07-13 0.037939 0.096933 0.231752 0.554134 1.292335 2.875002 6.476928
2025-07-20 0.036753 0.096768 0.237708 0.583500 1.394938 3.174581 7.314157
2025-07-27 0.034828 0.094491 0.238448 0.600784 1.471950 3.426030 8.070514
2025-08-03 0.032385 0.090528 0.234653 0.606738 1.523164 3.625051 8.728626
2025-08-10 0.029689 0.085490 0.227560 0.603680 1.552381 3.776638 9.292177
2025-08-17 0.027000 0.080071 0.218817 0.595382 1.567799 3.897564 9.795586
2025-08-24 0.024773 0.075600 0.211942 0.591013 1.592441 4.042452 10.370108